Chapter 4 · Section 3 practice
Nonlinear Models and Loss Classification
These questions review the examples in the companion slides. Choose an answer, then check the explanation.
Question 1
Which claim is supported by a validation AUC of 0.544?
- The model predicts a 54.4% return
- Its default cutoff must be 0.5
- The score showed modest event ranking in that sample, while calibration, costs and future performance need separate checks
- The model should automatically block every trade
Question 2
A logit coefficient is log(2) per unit. What doubles for a one-unit increase, holding other inputs fixed?
- The event probability at every starting value
- The conditional odds
- The expected next-month return
- The classifier AUC
Question 3
Under squared-error gradient boosting, the next learner fits what?
- The current residual direction
- The future test returns before they arrive
- Only the largest feature values
- A causal treatment effect