Chapter 6 ยท Section 6 practice
Asymmetric Volatility and Position Sizing
These questions review the examples in the companion slides. Choose an answer, then check the explanation.
Question 1
For a stock index, the sign of \(\gamma\) is expected to be:
- Negative โ good news is more surprising
- Positive โ bad news raises volatility more (the leverage effect)
- Zero โ the square already captures size
- Depends on the seed
Question 2
Two-step ARMA+GARCH means:
- Fit ARIMA on \(r_t\), then fit GARCH on the ARIMA residuals
- Fit GARCH on \(r_t\), then fit ARIMA on \(\sigma_t\)
- Fit both on \(r_t\) independently and average
- Fit ARIMA on \(r_t^2\)
Question 3
Compared with the calmest quartile, the most volatile quartile will show:
- Much higher mean return โ risk is rewarded day by day
- Similar mean return but roughly double the sd โ worse return per unit of risk
- Negative mean return always
- Zero sd
Question 4
Compared with buy-and-hold, the vol-targeted book should showโฆ
- Higher return, higher drawdown โ it levers up
- Lower return, same drawdown โ scaling is a cost
- Realised sd near 1 %, roughly half the drawdown, higher Sharpe, similar total return
- Identical โ scaling is a monotone transform